Some things work even in pandemics:
18/3/20: Yield Curve and Recessions
Some things work even in pandemics:
Category Archives: yield curve
Some things work even in pandemics:
31/7/19: Canary in the Treasuries mine
Judging by U.S. Treasuries, things are getting pretty ugly in the economy:
The gap between long-dated bond yields and short-dated paper yields has accurately predicted/led the last three recessions (the latter are marked by red averages in the chart).
2/7/19: Inverted Yield Curve
Inverting U.S. yield curve is one of the best early indicators of recessions. Or at least it used to be... before all the monetary policy shenanigans of the last 11 years. Regardless, the latest U.S. Treasury yields dynamics are quite disquieting:
2/4/19: World Economic Conditions and Yield Signals
Global divergence...
... until global convergence?
More likely, the latter: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-ecb-policy-rates-idUSKCN1R81B3.
2/4/19: World Economic Conditions and Yield Signals
Global divergence...
... until global convergence?
More likely, the latter: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-ecb-policy-rates-idUSKCN1R81B3.