Despite the ongoing efforts to accelerate vaccinations, we can now, sadly, confirm that globally, we are in the fourth wave of the pandemic:
US vs EU27 comparatives in the pandemic dynamics through the week 12 of 2021 are showing continued, albeit declining improvement in the relative position of the US. That said, much of the improvement is down to lags in new waves development, with the EU27 now firmly in its Wave 3 and the U.S. potentially entering Wave 4.
- Dramatic relaxation of prior restrictions and public health measures across many states, well-ahead of vaccinations making a significant impact on infections;
- Increased seasonal travel and social activities (primarily due to Spring Break);
- Severely lax enforcement of Covid19 restrictions and measures during the last 3 months; and
- Effectively free-for-all, cavalier approach to public safety by many U.S. residents.
Is American public health system fit for purpose? Anyone?
As warned last month, BRIICS are now in a new wave of the pandemic, just like the rest of the world:
The new wave is worse than the previous one in terms of new weekly case counts and deaths. Brazil and India are leading the new cases pandemic, while Brazil leads in terms of deaths. Russia is relatively stable on deaths counts at highly elevated levels, while India death counts (highly suspicious in terms of low numbers throughout the entire 2021 so far) are now rising once again.
Table above shows summary of dynamics in current weekly cases and deaths relative to the prior 4 weeks average.
These numbers strongly indicate that risk of pandemic will continue to spill over across the world, with no country immune to the new wave developing, until reaching 'herd immunity' levels via immunizations, assuming no adverse mutations in the virus.
Here is a set of summary tables for world's most impacted countries:
First, 17 countries with more than 7% of population tested positive:
- The U.S. that enters both of the lists as the only country with population > 15 million
- Mexico that enters the list for highest mortality countries (alongside the U.S.) - the only two countries on the list with population > 100 million
- Spain, UK and Italy are the three countries on the deadliest countries list with population between 45 million and 99 million.
Both Europe and the EU27 are now in a new wave, Wave 3, of the pandemic, just as the rest of the world (https://trueeconomics.blogspot.com/2021/04/1421-covid19-worldwide-data.html). There is no denying that fact: